· Analysis updated 14:22 UTC
Grbalj vs Zeta Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Grbalj and 1.08 for Zeta, a combined total of 2.42. That distribution gives Grbalj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.7% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grbalj home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zeta away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
Recent form
Grbalj
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Berane · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 1-1 (D)
Zeta
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:45:00.000Z · Grbalj 1-1 Zeta (Second League)
- 2023-05-06T14:30:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-1 Zeta (Second League)
- 2023-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · Grbalj 1-0 Zeta (Second League)
- 2022-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · Grbalj 1-2 Zeta (Second League)
- 2022-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-1 Zeta (Second League)
- 2020-06-03T16:00:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-2 Zeta (First League)
- 2019-11-23T12:00:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-2 Zeta (First League)
- 2019-09-14T13:30:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-0 Zeta (First League)
- 2019-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Grbalj 0-0 Zeta (First League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.