Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 3313:00

0 – 1

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Eagles Ground · Analysis updated 00:55 UTC

Green Eagles vs Power Dynamos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Green Eagles and 1.03 for Power Dynamos, a combined total of 1.88. That distribution gives Power Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Green Eagles home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Power Dynamos away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Power Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 29% / 32% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.85 goals for Green Eagles and 1.03 for Power Dynamos, a combined 1.88 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Green Eagles win29%
Draw32%
Power Dynamos win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 0–115.7%
  • 0–015.3%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 0–28.1%

Recent form

Green Eagles

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nkwazi · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Roan United · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ZESCO United · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mufulira Wanderers · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mines · 0-1 (L)

Power Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.