Burundi · Ligue A · Matchweek 3013:00

2 – 4

Friday, 8 May 2026

MuzingaWDDWD

· Analysis updated 20:00 UTC

Green Farmers FC vs Muzinga Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Green Farmers FC vs Muzinga in the Ligue A: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Muzinga away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Green Farmers FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Green Farmers FC and 1.18 for Muzinga, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Green Farmers FC or Muzinga yet, so these numbers are a Ligue A scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Green Farmers FC win44%
Draw26%
Muzinga win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Green Farmers FC

    Muzinga

    • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Musongati · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-30T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Panthere Noir · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Le Messager Ngozi · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Never Give Up Academy · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Green Farmers FC · 4-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Royal Vision96301921
    2Muzinga9531618
    3Rukinzo64201114
    4Le Messager Ngozi6411213
    5Olympic Star7331312
    6Aigle Noir8332212
    7Ngozi City8404-212
    8Bumamuru8314110
    9Musongati8314-110
    10Vital'O7232-59
    11Inter Star6132-16
    12Flambeau du Centre7133-26
    13Never Give Up Academy7124-55
    14Kayanza United8053-65
    15Young Star8125-155
    16Panthere Noir6015-71

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.