DGS Marine Stadium · Analysis updated 09:02 UTC
Greenwich Borough vs Hanwell Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.87 expected goals for Greenwich Borough and 1.38 for Hanwell Town, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Greenwich Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Greenwich Borough win
49.2% probability
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Greenwich Borough home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greenwich Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.87 goals for Greenwich Borough and 1.38 for Hanwell Town, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.8%
Recent form
Greenwich Borough
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sittingbourne · 4-3 (W)
- 2019-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Canterbury City · 2-3 (L)
- 2018-11-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Truro City · 0-3 (L)
- 2018-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bishop's Stortford · 1-0 (W)
- 2018-10-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Mildenhall Town · 4-2 (W)
Hanwell Town
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bath City · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Chertsey Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Taunton Town · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dover · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Havant & Wville · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Greenwich Borough win, at 49.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.