· Analysis updated 07:23 UTC
Grei W vs Odd W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Grei W and 2.05 for Odd W, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Odd W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Odd W win
49.9% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grei W home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Odd W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Odd W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 29% / 21% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Grei W and 2.05 for Odd W, a combined 3.57 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Grei W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 3-2 (W)
Odd W
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-06-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · Grei W 0-1 Odd W (1. Division Women)
- 2026-06-21T12:00:00.000Z · Grei W 1-3 Odd W (1. Division Women)
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Odd W win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.