· Analysis updated 07:19 UTC
Grenades vs All Saints United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Grenades and 2.08 for All Saints United, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives All Saints United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
60.7% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 2.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grenades home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
All Saints United away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates All Saints United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 20% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Grenades and 2.08 for All Saints United, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–35.1%
Recent form
Grenades
- 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs All Saints United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Pigotts Bullets · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-29T22:15:00.000Z · A vs Old Road · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Attacking Saints · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-14T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Garden Stars · 3-1 (W)
All Saints United
- 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Garden Stars · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoppers · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Potters Tigers · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · Grenades 3-0 All Saints United (Premier Division)
- 2026-01-12T00:00:00.000Z · Grenades 1-0 All Saints United (Premier Division)
- 2025-01-13T00:00:00.000Z · Grenades 3-1 All Saints United (Premier Division)
- 2024-02-17T22:00:00.000Z · Grenades 3-1 All Saints United (Premier Division)
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potters Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Garden Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Grenades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hoppers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | All Saints United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.