· Analysis updated 03:47 UTC
Grenades vs Ottos Rangers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.10 expected goals for Grenades and 0.68 for Ottos Rangers, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Grenades the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Grenades win
84.6% probability
Expected goals
3.10 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grenades home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Grenades to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 85% / 10% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.10 goals for Grenades and 0.68 for Ottos Rangers, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 47%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
15%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–011.4%
- 2–011.0%
- 4–08.8%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
Recent form
Grenades
- 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs All Saints United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Pigotts Bullets · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-29T22:15:00.000Z · A vs Old Road · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Attacking Saints · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-14T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Garden Stars · 3-1 (W)
Ottos Rangers
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potters Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Garden Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Grenades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hoppers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | All Saints United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Grenades win, at 84.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.