· Analysis updated 09:42 UTC
Greuther Fürth U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Greuther Fürth U19 and 1.26 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined total of 4.19. That distribution gives Greuther Fürth U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Greuther Fürth U19 win
71.5% probability
Expected goals
2.93 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Greuther Fürth U19 home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Saarbrücken U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greuther Fürth U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 15% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for Greuther Fürth U19 and 1.26 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined 4.19 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–06.5%
- 3–06.4%
- 4–15.9%
Recent form
Greuther Fürth U19
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz U19 · 3-1 (W)
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Greuther Fürth U19 win, at 71.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.