· Analysis updated 10:16 UTC
Greuther Fürth U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Greuther Fürth U19 and 1.30 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Greuther Fürth U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Greuther Fürth U19 win
61.2% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Greuther Fürth U19 home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Schott Mainz U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greuther Fürth U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Greuther Fürth U19 and 1.30 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–26.0%
Recent form
Greuther Fürth U19
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz U19 · 3-1 (W)
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Greuther Fürth U19 win, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.