Kauniaisten Keskuskentta · Analysis updated 12:30 UTC
GrIFK vs NJS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for GrIFK and 0.73 for NJS, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives GrIFK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
GrIFK win
73.9% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
GrIFK home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
NJS away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 3–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.8%
Recent form
GrIFK
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-2 (L)
NJS
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 6-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-2 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-07-03T15:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-0 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-04-24T16:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-0 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2024-09-22T11:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 3-3 NJS (Kakkonen - Play-offs)
- 2024-07-13T14:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko A)
- 2024-05-12T15:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko A)
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GrIFK win, at 73.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.