· Analysis updated 11:51 UTC
GrIFK vs NJS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for GrIFK and 1.53 for NJS, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives GrIFK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
GrIFK win
46.6% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
GrIFK home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
NJS away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
GrIFK
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-2 (L)
NJS
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 6-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-2 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-07-03T15:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-0 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-04-24T16:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-0 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2024-09-22T11:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 3-3 NJS (Kakkonen - Play-offs)
- 2024-07-13T14:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko A)
- 2024-05-12T15:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-1 NJS (Kakkonen - Lohko A)
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GrIFK win, at 46.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.