Guédiawaye vs Teungueth Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Guédiawaye and 0.93 for Teungueth, a combined total of 1.58. That distribution gives Teungueth the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

75.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.65 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Guédiawaye home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Teungueth away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Guédiawaye win25%

Draw35%

Teungueth win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals47%

Over 2.5 goals21%

Over 3.5 goals8%

Both teams to score29%

Correct score

0–020.7%
0–119.1%
1–013.5%
1–112.4%
0–28.9%

Recent form

Guédiawaye

2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade de Mbour · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs DSC · 2-1 (W)
2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Teungueth · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade de Mbour · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wally Daan · 2-3 (L)

Teungueth

2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Colombe · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombe · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Canchungo · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Canchungo · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Guédiawaye · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 0-1 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2026-02-14T16:30:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 0-0 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2025-06-22T17:00:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 2-2 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2025-02-02T16:30:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 1-1 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2024-03-16T16:30:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 4-3 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2023-11-18T16:15:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 1-1 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2023-06-25T17:00:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 0-1 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2022-12-26T16:30:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 2-0 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2022-04-23T17:00:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 1-1 Teungueth (Ligue 1)
2021-12-26T16:30:00.000Z · Guédiawaye 0-3 Teungueth (Ligue 1)

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Génération Foot	2	1	1	0	3	4
2	Jaraaf	2	1	1	0	2	4
3	Gorée	2	1	1	0	2	4
4	Wally Daan	2	1	1	0	2	4
5	HLM	2	1	1	0	1	4
6	Guédiawaye	2	1	1	0	1	4
7	Diambars	2	1	0	1	0	3
8	AJEL	2	0	2	0	0	2
9	Stade de Mbour	2	0	2	0	0	2
10	DSC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Essamaye	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Casa Sport	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Pikine	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Teungueth	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ouakam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	La Linguère	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 75.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 21%.

A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.