· Analysis updated 06:36 UTC
Guiseley AFC vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Guiseley AFC and 1.18 for Blackburn Rovers U21, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Guiseley AFC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Guiseley AFC win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Guiseley AFC home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Blackburn Rovers U21 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Guiseley AFC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Guiseley AFC and 1.18 for Blackburn Rovers U21, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–17.1%
Recent form
Guiseley AFC
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rylands · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Cleethorpes Town · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leiston · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avro · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Ilkeston Town · 2-0 (W)
Blackburn Rovers U21
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace U21 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Reading U21 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Queens Park Rangers U21 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town U21 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U21 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Guiseley AFC win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.