Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Bayern Süd - 1413:00
GundelfingenDLWLL

4 – 0

Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 08:17 UTC

Gundelfingen vs Schalding-Heining Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Gundelfingen and 1.58 for Schalding-Heining, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Gundelfingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gundelfingen home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Schalding-Heining away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Gundelfingen win43%
Draw23%
Schalding-Heining win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.2%

Recent form

Gundelfingen

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hankofen-Hailing · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pfaffenhofen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalding-Heining · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwabmünchen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TuS Geretsried · 0-0 (D)

Schalding-Heining

  • 2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Erlbach · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kirchanschöring · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gundelfingen · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1880 Wasserburg · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Deisenhofen · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · Gundelfingen 4-0 Schalding-Heining (Oberliga - Bayern Süd)
  • 2026-03-28T14:00:00.000Z · Gundelfingen 1-0 Schalding-Heining (Oberliga - Bayern Süd)
  • 2025-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · Gundelfingen 1-1 Schalding-Heining (Oberliga - Bayern Süd)
  • 2023-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · Gundelfingen 1-2 Schalding-Heining (Oberliga - Bayern Süd)
  • 2022-08-20T15:00:00.000Z · Gundelfingen 2-3 Schalding-Heining (Oberliga - Bayern Süd)

Oberliga - Bayern Süd table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pipinsried1610332133
2Erlbach169521332
31880 Wasserburg1610151131
4Pfaffenhofen16853429
5Landshut168441128
6Hankofen-Hailing16844828
7Sportfreunde Schwaig166911627
8Ismaning16727823
91860 München II16565321
10Schwabmünchen16547-119
11Heimstetten16475-219
12Gundelfingen16466-218
13Kottern16466-618
14Deisenhofen16448-1616
151860 Rosenheim16367-915
16Kirchanschöring16439-1315
17Schalding-Heining162410-2710
18TuS Geretsried162311-199

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.