Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Matchweek 612:30

3 – 0

Saturday, 19 September 2026

KloetingeLLDLD

Sportpark Panhuis · Analysis updated 11:55 UTC

GVVV Veenendaal vs Kloetinge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 2.35 for Kloetinge, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives Kloetinge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kloetinge win

51.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 2.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • GVVV Veenendaal home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kloetinge away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kloetinge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 29% / 20% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 2.35 for Kloetinge, a combined 4.10 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

GVVV Veenendaal win29%
Draw20%
Kloetinge win52%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–36.3%
  • 2–16.0%

Recent form

GVVV Veenendaal

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs HHC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-1 (W)

Kloetinge

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Koninklijke HFC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 8-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys119112428
2De Treffers116411622
3Ijsselmeervogels11713622
4Kozakken Boys116321221
5HHC11632521
6Barendrecht11623320
7GVVV Veenendaal11605418
8RKAV Volendam11533118
9Spakenburg11425-414
10Katwijk11425-714
11Sparta Rotterdam II11344413
12Almere City II11416113
13AFC Amsterdam11416-413
14Rijnsburgse Boys11416-1013
15Hoek11245-610
16Koninklijke HFC11236-89
17Kloetinge11146-137
18ROHDA Raalte110110-241

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kloetinge win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.