Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Matchweek 412:30

0 – 3

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Quick BoysWWWLW

Sportpark Panhuis · Analysis updated 13:30 UTC

GVVV Veenendaal vs Quick Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 2.57 for Quick Boys, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Quick Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Quick Boys win

62.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 2.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • GVVV Veenendaal home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Quick Boys away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Quick Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 20% / 18% / 62% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.42 goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 2.57 for Quick Boys, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

GVVV Veenendaal win20%
Draw18%
Quick Boys win62%

Double chance 1X

38%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–37.4%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 0–26.1%

Recent form

GVVV Veenendaal

  • 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs RKAV Volendam · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kloetinge · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Quick Boys · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozakken Boys · 2-3 (L)

Quick Boys

  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Koninklijke HFC · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys98012224
2Kozakken Boys96211320
3De Treffers95311518
4Ijsselmeervogels9513416
5GVVV Veenendaal9504315
6HHC9432315
7Barendrecht9423-114
8AFC Amsterdam9414013
9Spakenburg9414-313
10Sparta Rotterdam II9333512
11RKAV Volendam9333-112
12Katwijk9324-811
13Almere City II9315110
14Rijnsburgse Boys9315-1010
15Hoek9234-49
16Kloetinge9144-107
17Koninklijke HFC9135-76
18ROHDA Raalte9018-221

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Quick Boys win, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.