Sportpark Panhuis · Analysis updated 05:18 UTC
GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 1.72 for RKAV Volendam, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives RKAV Volendam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
GVVV Veenendaal home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
RKAV Volendam away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–15.9%
Recent form
GVVV Veenendaal
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs HHC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-1 (W)
RKAV Volendam
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Rotterdam II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ROHDA Raalte · 8-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Almere City II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 3-2 RKAV Volendam (Tweede Divisie)
- 2026-03-14T13:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 1-3 RKAV Volendam (Tweede Divisie)
- 2025-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 2-0 RKAV Volendam (Tweede Divisie)
- 2025-03-08T13:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 2-5 RKAV Volendam (Tweede Divisie)
- 2024-10-05T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 1-4 RKAV Volendam (Tweede Divisie)
- 2023-04-15T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 4-0 RKAV Volendam (Derde Divisie)
- 2022-10-29T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 0-1 RKAV Volendam (Derde Divisie)
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Ijsselmeervogels | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Kozakken Boys | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | HHC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Barendrecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | GVVV Veenendaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | RKAV Volendam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Katwijk | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Almere City II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | AFC Amsterdam | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Hoek | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -24 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.