South-Korea · K League 2 · Matchweek 3415:00
Gyeongnam FCLDLDW

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 28 November 2026

Changwon Football Centre Stadium · Analysis updated 04:51 UTC

Gyeongnam FC vs Seoul E-Land FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.40 for Seoul E-Land FC, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Seoul E-Land FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Seoul E-Land FC win

48.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gyeongnam FC home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Seoul E-Land FC away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Seoul E-Land FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 24% / 27% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.90 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.40 for Seoul E-Land FC, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Gyeongnam FC win24%
Draw27%
Seoul E-Land FC win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 0–114.0%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–09.0%

Recent form

Gyeongnam FC

  • 2026-09-20T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Yongin City · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Seongnam FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Paju Citizen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Cheongju · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimhae City · 1-1 (D)

Seoul E-Land FC

  • 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimhae City · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimpo Citizen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon Bluewings · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Cheongju · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings2819542562
2Suwon City FC2815942254
3Seoul E-Land FC2816662054
4Daegu FC2815761752
5Busan I Park2914691048
6Hwaseong2912981245
7Asan Mugunghwa281099439
8Gimpo Citizen289118238
9Gyeongnam FC288119-235
10Cheongju296149-1232
11Seongnam FC2871011-731
12Paju Citizen288713-731
13Yongin City2861210-730
14Cheonan City2861111-429
15Ansan Greeners297418-2325
16Jeonnam Dragons285914-1724
17Gimhae City283817-3317

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Seoul E-Land FC win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.