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Saturday, 18 July 2026

· Analysis updated 13:47 UTC

Gyirmot SE vs Sopron Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Gyirmot SE and 1.86 for Sopron, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Sopron the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.86

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gyirmot SE home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sopron to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 37% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.74 goals for Gyirmot SE and 1.86 for Sopron, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Gyirmot SE win37%
Draw22%
Sopron win42%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 0–15.1%

Recent form

Gyirmot SE

  • 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Szentlőrinc SE · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 2-0 (W)

Sopron

  • 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Szegedi VSE · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Magnetic Andráshida TE · 8-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.