World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying17:00

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Thursday, 30 July 2026

Atert BissenWWDWW

ETO Park · Referee D. Kubryak · Analysis updated 04:16 UTC

Gyori ETO FC vs Atert Bissen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Atert Bissen, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives Gyori ETO FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Gyori ETO FC win

77.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gyori ETO FC home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Atert Bissen away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gyori ETO FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 11% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Atert Bissen, a combined 6.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Gyori ETO FC win78%
Draw11%
Atert Bissen win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals85%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 4–15.1%
  • 4–25.1%
  • 5–14.6%
  • 5–24.6%
  • 3–14.6%

Recent form

Gyori ETO FC

  • 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ujpest · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Paks · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:40:00.000Z · A vs MTK Budapest · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karcag SE · 5-1 (W)

Atert Bissen

  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ALSS Luxembourg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Rumelange · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →
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15Atalanta210103
16SC Braga2101-13
17Gent2101-13
18SC Freiburg2101-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202002
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202002
21Riga202002
22FK Crvena Zvezda2011-11
23CSKA Sofia2011-11
24FK Jablonec2011-11
25FC Midtjylland2011-11
26Aarhus2011-11
27Pafos2011-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2011-21
29FC Iberia 19992011-21
30Getafe2011-31
31Kairat Almaty2011-41
32FC Thun2002-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2002-40
34KuPS2002-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2002-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2002-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gyori ETO FC win, at 77.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.

A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.