World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying17:00

11

Thursday, 30 July 2026

ETO Park · Referee D. Kubryak · Analysis updated 10:11 UTC

Gyori ETO FC vs Atert Bissen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Atert Bissen, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives Gyori ETO FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Gyori ETO FC win

77.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gyori ETO FC win78%
Draw11%
Atert Bissen win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals85%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 4–15.1%
  • 4–25.1%
  • 5–14.6%
  • 5–24.6%
  • 3–14.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gyori ETO FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 11% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Atert Bissen, a combined 6.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 92% and both teams to score at 82%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.

  • Model confidence

    The headline pick is rated 78% with high confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Gyori ETO FC

    Atert Bissen

    • 2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs F91 Dudelange · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO FC · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-21T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO FC · 2-6 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.