ETO Park · Referee B. Berke · Analysis updated 20:12 UTC
Gyori ETO FC vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Nyiregyhaza, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Nyiregyhaza the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nyiregyhaza win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyori ETO FC home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nyiregyhaza away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nyiregyhaza to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 22% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 2.00 for Nyiregyhaza, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
Gyori ETO FC
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ujpest · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Paks · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:40:00.000Z · A vs MTK Budapest · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karcag SE · 5-1 (W)
Nyiregyhaza
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemplín Michalovce · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ferencvarosi TC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Majosi · 8-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Debreceni VSC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Vasas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Ferencvarosi TC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Kisvarda FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nyiregyhaza win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.