ETO Park · Referee F. Karako · Analysis updated 03:34 UTC
Gyori ETO FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.96 for Zalaegerszegi TE, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Gyori ETO FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyori ETO FC win
67.1% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyori ETO FC home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zalaegerszegi TE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyori ETO FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 19% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.96 for Zalaegerszegi TE, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–18.6%
- 3–07.8%
Recent form
Gyori ETO FC
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ujpest · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Paks · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:40:00.000Z · A vs MTK Budapest · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karcag SE · 5-1 (W)
Zalaegerszegi TE
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ujpest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunaharaszti MTK · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO FC · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Debreceni VSC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Vasas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyori ETO FC win, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.