· Analysis updated 23:34 UTC
Gyori ETO II vs Puskás II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Gyori ETO II and 1.62 for Puskás II, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Gyori ETO II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.5% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyori ETO II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Puskás II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyori ETO II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Gyori ETO II and 1.62 for Puskás II, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
Gyori ETO II
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Haladás VSE · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dorogi FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 3-1 (W)
Puskás II
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 30 |
| 2 | Tatabánya | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Haladás VSE | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | SC Sopron | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Komárom | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Sárisápi Bányász | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | MTE 1904 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Puskás II | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 | Bicskei | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyori ETO II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Veszprém | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Király SZE | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Pápai Perutz | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 8 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -28 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.