· Analysis updated 14:16 UTC
Gyori ETO II vs Sárisápi Bányász Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Gyori ETO II and 1.21 for Sárisápi Bányász, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Gyori ETO II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyori ETO II win
48.6% probability
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyori ETO II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sárisápi Bányász away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyori ETO II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 24% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.69 goals for Gyori ETO II and 1.21 for Sárisápi Bányász, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.8%
Recent form
Gyori ETO II
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Veszprém · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Király SZE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Balatonalmádi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Sopron · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 2-3 (L)
Sárisápi Bányász
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Veszprém · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Király SZE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Puskás II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Sopron · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haladás VSE | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 | Dorogi FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Tatabánya | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Sárisápi Bányász | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | MTE 1904 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | SC Sopron | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Bicskei | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Komárom | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Gyori ETO II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Puskás II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Pápai Perutz | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Veszprém | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Király SZE | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -25 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyori ETO II win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.