· Analysis updated 13:53 UTC
Gyulai Termál vs BKV Előre Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.14 for BKV Előre, a combined total of 4.07. That distribution gives Gyulai Termál the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyulai Termál win
73.7% probability
Expected goals
2.93 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyulai Termál home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
BKV Előre away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyulai Termál to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 14% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.14 for BKV Előre, a combined 4.07 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–07.3%
- 3–07.1%
- 4–16.0%
Recent form
Gyulai Termál
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Szolnoki MAV FC · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 5-0 (W)
BKV Előre
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dabas · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Szeged-Csanád II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bekescsaba 1912 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sándorfalva · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyulai Termál win, at 73.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.