id. Christian Laszlo Varosi Sporttelep · Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Gyulai Termál vs Szentlőrinc SE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.07 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Gyulai Termál the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyulai Termál win
61.8% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyulai Termál home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Szentlőrinc SE away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyulai Termál to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.07 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.0%
Recent form
Gyulai Termál
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Szolnoki MAV FC · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 5-0 (W)
Szentlőrinc SE
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BVSC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyulai Termál · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszakecske FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Ajka · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Soroksar · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyulai Termál win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.