· Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Gyulai Termál vs Vasas II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.13 expected goals for Gyulai Termál and 1.20 for Vasas II, a combined total of 4.33. That distribution gives Gyulai Termál the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyulai Termál win
75.3% probability
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gyulai Termál home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vasas II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 3–06.7%
- 2–06.5%
- 4–16.3%
Recent form
Gyulai Termál
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Szolnoki MAV FC · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 5-0 (W)
Vasas II
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyulai Termál · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-19T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Újpest II · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Szolnoki MAV FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · Gyulai Termál 1-0 Vasas II (NB III - Southeast)
- 2025-11-23T12:00:00.000Z · Gyulai Termál 2-2 Vasas II (NB III - Southeast)
- 2025-08-06T15:30:00.000Z · Gyulai Termál 1-1 Vasas II (NB III - Southeast)
- 2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · Gyulai Termál 3-0 Vasas II (NB III - Southeast)
- 2024-11-10T12:00:00.000Z · Gyulai Termál 2-1 Vasas II (NB III - Southeast)
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 33 |
| 2 | III. Kerületi TUE | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | ESMTK | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Újpest II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Vasas II | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Szeged-Csanád II | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Csepel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Monori Se | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Dabas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 14 |
| 11 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Honvéd II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Sándorfalva | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 10 |
| 14 | Hódmezővásárhely | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 15 | BKV Előre | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -29 | 5 |
| 16 | Szegedi VSE | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -22 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyulai Termál win, at 75.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.