Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1714:00
Häcken II WLLLDL

2 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Enskede WLWWLL

· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC

Häcken II W vs Enskede W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Häcken II W and 1.76 for Enskede W, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Enskede W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Enskede W win

46.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Häcken II W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Enskede W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Enskede W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 30% / 23% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for Häcken II W and 1.76 for Enskede W, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Häcken II W win30%
Draw23%
Enskede W win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 0–26.7%

Recent form

Häcken II W

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Alingsås W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Örebro SK W · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg W · 0-2 (L)

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Enskede W win, at 46.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.