· Analysis updated 03:10 UTC
Häcken II W vs Göteborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Häcken II W and 2.92 for Göteborg W, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Göteborg W win
78.7% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Häcken II W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Göteborg W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 8% / 13% / 79% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Häcken II W and 2.92 for Göteborg W, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
21%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–29.5%
- 0–39.3%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–38.2%
- 0–46.8%
Recent form
Häcken II W
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Alingsås W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Örebro SK W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg W · 0-2 (L)
Göteborg W
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Elfsborg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KIF Örebro W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 51 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -37 | 14 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 23 | 2 | 2 | 19 | -28 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Göteborg W win, at 78.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.