· Analysis updated 17:42 UTC
Häcken II W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Häcken II W and 2.33 for KIF Örebro W, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives KIF Örebro W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
KIF Örebro W win
60.8% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
KIF Örebro W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KIF Örebro W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 20% / 19% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Häcken II W and 2.33 for KIF Örebro W, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.1%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–16.4%
Recent form
Häcken II W
KIF Örebro W
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AIK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Göteborg W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 51 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -25 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is KIF Örebro W win, at 60.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.