· Analysis updated 08:28 UTC
Häcken II W vs Linköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for Häcken II W and 2.12 for Linköping W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Linköping W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Linköping W win
61.4% probability
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.12
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Linköping W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Linköping W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 18% / 20% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.07 goals for Häcken II W and 2.12 for Linköping W, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–29.3%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–37.0%
Recent form
Häcken II W
Linköping W
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrköping W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 48 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -25 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Linköping W win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.