Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1511:00
Häcken WWWWWW

11:00 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

AIK WLWLWL

Nordic Wellness Arena · Analysis updated 01:30 UTC

Häcken W vs AIK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.87 expected goals for Häcken W and 0.91 for AIK W, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws roughly 23% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

77.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.87 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Häcken W win78%
Draw14%
AIK W win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

23%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 2–09.4%
  • 3–09.0%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 1–06.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Häcken W home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 14% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.87 goals for Häcken W and 0.91 for AIK W, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Häcken W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

AIK W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.