Nordic Wellness Arena · Analysis updated 09:51 UTC
Häcken W vs Uppsala W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Häcken W and 0.40 for Uppsala W, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Häcken W win
91.0% probability
Expected goals
3.33 – 0.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Häcken W home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Uppsala W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 91% / 7% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.33 goals for Häcken W and 0.40 for Uppsala W, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
9%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–014.8%
- 2–013.3%
- 4–012.3%
- 5–08.2%
- 1–08.0%
Recent form
Häcken W
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrköping W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Inter Milano W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskilstuna United W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 2-0 (W)
Uppsala W
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken W · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hu Ge W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · Häcken W 9-0 Uppsala W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · Häcken W 3-2 Uppsala W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-10-22T13:00:00.000Z · Häcken W 1-0 Uppsala W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-06-15T17:00:00.000Z · Häcken W 3-1 Uppsala W (Damallsvenskan)
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstad W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna W | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgården W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna United W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 10 | Piteå W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Rosengård W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 20 |
| 13 | Växjö W | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 18 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -64 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Häcken W win, at 91.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.