· Analysis updated 23:27 UTC
Hajdina vs NK Ormoz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Hajdina and 1.90 for NK Ormoz, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Hajdina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.3% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hajdina home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
NK Ormoz away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hajdina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Hajdina and 1.90 for NK Ormoz, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 3–15.3%
Recent form
Hajdina
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Odranci · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Dobrovce · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Videm · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fužinar · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Limbuš Pekre · 1-1 (D)
NK Ormoz
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Odranci · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dobrovce · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fužinar · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Limbuš Pekre · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ljutomer · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. SNL - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odranci | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Fužinar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Šmartno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Ormoz | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Hajdina | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Čarda Martjanci | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Videm | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Podvinci | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Korotan Prevalje | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Rače | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dobrovce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 12 | Ljutomer | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Limbuš Pekre | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | Šampion Celje | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.