Stadion Poljud · Analysis updated 15:33 UTC
Hajduk Split W vs Fortuna Hjørring W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Hajduk Split W and 1.28 for Fortuna Hjørring W, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Hajduk Split W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.6% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fortuna Hjørring W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hajduk Split W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Hajduk Split W and 1.28 for Fortuna Hjørring W, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.8%
Recent form
Hajduk Split W
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs ŽNK Mura W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 2-3 (L)
Fortuna Hjørring W
- 2026-10-04T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordsjælland W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.