· Analysis updated 14:49 UTC
Hajer vs Al Taee Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Hajer and 1.19 for Al Taee, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Hajer the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Hajer win
47.8% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hajer home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hajer to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Hajer and 1.19 for Al Taee, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.0%
Recent form
Hajer
- 2026-08-23T15:50:00.000Z · H vs Jeddah Club · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-22T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ain · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-16T16:10:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ain · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Qalah · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Rayan · 2-3 (L)
Al Taee
- 2026-09-18T15:50:00.000Z · H vs Al Bukayriyah · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:20:00.000Z · H vs Al Zulfi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Anwar · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T17:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Jandal · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Al-Adalah · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Jabalain | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Damac | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Wehda Club | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Anwar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Saqer | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Raed | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Al-Adalah | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Jeddah Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Al Orubah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Hajer | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Al Bukayriyah | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hajer win, at 47.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.