Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 2706:30

3 – 2

Saturday, 8 August 2026

· Analysis updated 07:03 UTC

Hakoah Sydney City vs Bulls Academy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Hakoah Sydney City and 1.65 for Bulls Academy, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Hakoah Sydney City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hakoah Sydney City home form

    8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hakoah Sydney City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 22% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Hakoah Sydney City and 1.65 for Bulls Academy, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Hakoah Sydney City win42%
Draw22%
Bulls Academy win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–05.7%

Recent form

Hakoah Sydney City

  • 2026-08-29T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Lions · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Newcastle Jets II · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Canterbury Bankstown · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Bulls Academy · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Mt Druitt Town · 2-2 (D)

Bulls Academy

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
    2Northern Tigers3017852559
    3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
    4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
    5Hills Brumbies3014791749
    6Macarthur Rams3014610448
    7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
    8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
    9Bulls Academy3011514238
    10Inter Lions3010515-1535
    11Hurstville FC309615-1333
    12Central Coast II308715-2131
    13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
    14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
    15Prospect United3041412-1926
    16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.