· Analysis updated 05:25 UTC
Haladás VSE vs Király SZE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Haladás VSE and 1.13 for Király SZE, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Haladás VSE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Haladás VSE win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Haladás VSE home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Király SZE away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haladás VSE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Haladás VSE and 1.13 for Király SZE, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–08.8%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–17.0%
Recent form
Haladás VSE
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskás II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs MTE 1904 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pápai Perutz · 4-0 (W)
Király SZE
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Puskás II · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sárisápi Bányász · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sopron · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tatabánya · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 30 |
| 2 | Tatabánya | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Haladás VSE | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | SC Sopron | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Komárom | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Sárisápi Bányász | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | MTE 1904 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Puskás II | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 | Bicskei | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyori ETO II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Veszprém | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Király SZE | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Pápai Perutz | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 8 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -28 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Haladás VSE win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.