· Analysis updated 12:29 UTC
Halkanoras vs Iraklis Yerolakkou Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Halkanoras and 0.98 for Iraklis Yerolakkou, a combined total of 2.11. That distribution gives Halkanoras the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.9% probability
Expected goals
1.14 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Halkanoras home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Iraklis Yerolakkou away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–07.8%
Recent form
Halkanoras
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartakos Kitiou · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Digenis Morphou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Doxa · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Enosis · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Iraklis Yerolakkou · 0-2 (L)
Iraklis Yerolakkou
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Enosis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Akritas · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs ASIL Lysi · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ayia Napa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Halkanoras · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · Halkanoras 0-2 Iraklis Yerolakkou (2. Division)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · Halkanoras 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou (2. Division)
- 2026-02-28T13:00:00.000Z · Halkanoras 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou (2. Division)
- 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 1-1 Iraklis Yerolakkou (2. Division)
- 2024-03-23T13:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 2-1 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
- 2024-02-03T12:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 1-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
- 2024-01-07T12:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 2-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
- 2022-11-19T12:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 0-1 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
- 2022-03-19T13:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 2-1 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
- 2021-12-04T12:30:00.000Z · Halkanoras 0-1 Iraklis Yerolakkou (3. Division)
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enosis | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Ethnikos Achna | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | PAEEK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Doxa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | APEA | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Ermis | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Akritas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Halkanoras | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Spartakos Kitiou | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Ayia Napa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Polemidion | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | MEAP Nisou | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.