Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary09:00

4 – 1

Sunday, 6 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Hallescher FC U19 vs Babelsberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Hallescher FC U19 and 1.95 for Babelsberg U19, a combined total of 4.63. That distribution gives Hallescher FC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hallescher FC U19 win

53.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.68 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hallescher FC U19 home form

    3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Babelsberg U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hallescher FC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 18% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.68 goals for Hallescher FC U19 and 1.95 for Babelsberg U19, a combined 4.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hallescher FC U19 win54%
Draw18%
Babelsberg U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 1–15.1%

Recent form

Hallescher FC U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lübeck U19 · 2-3 (L)

Babelsberg U19

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 5-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hallescher FC U19 win, at 53.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.