Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary09:00

1 – 3

Sunday, 13 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:05 UTC

Hallescher FC U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Hallescher FC U19 and 0.83 for Carl Zeiss Jena U19, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Hallescher FC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hallescher FC U19 win

65.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.05 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hallescher FC U19 home form

    3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Carl Zeiss Jena U19 away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hallescher FC U19 win66%
Draw20%
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

34%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 2–011.9%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 3–08.1%

Recent form

Hallescher FC U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lübeck U19 · 2-3 (L)

Carl Zeiss Jena U19

  • 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2025-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC U19 0-2 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2025-08-20T16:30:00.000Z · Hallescher FC U19 1-5 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2024-09-28T11:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC U19 3-2 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2024-08-03T09:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC U19 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2021-10-23T09:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC U19 3-1 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hallescher FC U19 win, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.