Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for Hallescher FC and 2.33 for Chemnitzer FC, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Chemnitzer FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Chemnitzer FC win

73.3% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.73 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hallescher FC home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chemnitzer FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hallescher FC win10%

Draw17%

Chemnitzer FC win73%

Double chance 1X

27%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

90%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

0–212.8%
0–111.0%
0–39.9%
1–29.3%
1–18.0%

Recent form

Hallescher FC

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC II · 2-0 (W)

Chemnitzer FC

2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs RSV Eintracht · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BSG Chemie Leipzig · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2026-03-07T13:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 3-1 Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2025-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-3 Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2024-12-07T15:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-1 Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2024-07-25T18:20:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2024-01-12T13:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 1-1 Chemnitzer FC (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-07-10T12:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-2 Chemnitzer FC (Friendlies Clubs)
2020-02-09T13:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 0-3 Chemnitzer FC (3. Liga)
2019-08-03T12:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 3-1 Chemnitzer FC (3. Liga)
2018-03-11T13:00:00.000Z · Hallescher FC 1-1 Chemnitzer FC (3. Liga)

Regionalliga - Nordost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	14	9	4	1	24	31
2	Chemnitzer FC	14	9	3	2	21	30
3	Hallescher FC	13	8	4	1	11	28
4	Altglienicke	14	8	3	3	9	27
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	14	8	2	4	11	26
6	BFC Dynamo	14	7	5	2	9	26
7	Erzgebirge Aue	14	7	3	4	5	24
8	Greifswalder FC	14	6	4	4	5	22
9	Magdeburg II	14	6	1	7	-1	19
10	FSV Zwickau	14	5	4	5	-5	19
11	Lokomotive Leipzig	13	4	5	4	0	17
12	SV Babelsberg 03	14	4	4	6	-8	16
13	BFC Preussen	14	2	5	7	-6	11
14	Tasmania Berlin	14	3	2	9	-18	11
15	BSG Chemie Leipzig	13	2	4	7	-7	10
16	Hertha BSC II	13	2	4	7	-13	10
17	RSV Eintracht	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Luckenwalde	14	2	0	12	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Chemnitzer FC win, at 73.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.