Hallescher FC vs Tasmania Berlin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.77 expected goals for Hallescher FC and 0.88 for Tasmania Berlin, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Hallescher FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hallescher FC win

76.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.77 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hallescher FC home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tasmania Berlin away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hallescher FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 14% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.77 goals for Hallescher FC and 0.88 for Tasmania Berlin, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hallescher FC win77%

Draw14%

Tasmania Berlin win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

23%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

2–010.0%
3–09.2%
2–18.8%
3–18.1%
1–07.2%

Recent form

Hallescher FC

2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotive Leipzig · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs RSV Eintracht · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs BFC Preussen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 3-1 (W)

Tasmania Berlin

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs RSV Eintracht · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 6-0 (W)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFC Preussen · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nordost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	14	9	4	1	24	31
2	Chemnitzer FC	14	9	3	2	21	30
3	Hallescher FC	14	8	5	1	11	29
4	Altglienicke	14	8	3	3	9	27
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	14	8	2	4	11	26
6	BFC Dynamo	14	7	5	2	9	26
7	Erzgebirge Aue	14	7	3	4	5	24
8	Greifswalder FC	14	6	4	4	5	22
9	Magdeburg II	14	6	1	7	-1	19
10	FSV Zwickau	14	5	4	5	-5	19
11	Lokomotive Leipzig	14	4	6	4	0	18
12	SV Babelsberg 03	14	4	4	6	-8	16
13	BSG Chemie Leipzig	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	BFC Preussen	14	2	5	7	-6	11
15	Tasmania Berlin	14	3	2	9	-18	11
16	Hertha BSC II	14	2	4	8	-15	10
17	RSV Eintracht	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Luckenwalde	14	2	0	12	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hallescher FC win, at 76.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.