Hanácká vs Opava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Hanácká and 1.88 for Opava, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Opava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Opava win

50.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hanácká home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Opava away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hanácká win27%

Draw23%

Opava win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.1%
1–29.5%
0–17.5%
0–27.1%
2–16.7%

Recent form

Hanácká

2026-10-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 2-1 (W)

Opava

2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 3-3 (D)
2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Třinec · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · Hanácká 2-2 Opava (FNL)
2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 2-2 Opava (FNL)
2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-0 Opava (FNL)
2025-02-01T09:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 0-0 Opava (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-03-29T17:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-1 Opava (FNL)
2023-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 0-1 Opava (FNL)
2023-01-28T09:30:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-1 Opava (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-07-17T09:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 0-2 Opava (Friendlies Clubs)
2020-09-15T15:30:00.000Z · Hanácká 0-3 Opava (Cup)

FNL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Karviná	10	7	0	3	8	21
2	Dukla Praha	10	6	2	2	6	20
3	Ústí nad Labem	10	5	3	2	6	18
4	Vysočina Jihlava	10	5	2	3	5	17
5	Příbram	10	4	5	1	3	17
6	Vlašim	10	4	3	3	5	15
7	Slavia Praha II	10	3	4	3	2	13
8	Kladno	10	3	4	3	0	13
9	Táborsko	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Opava	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Viktoria Žižkov	10	4	1	5	-7	13
12	Baník Ostrava II	10	3	2	5	2	11
13	Prostějov	10	1	6	3	-1	9
14	Arsenal Česká Lípa	10	2	3	5	-7	9
15	Třinec	10	1	4	5	-8	7
16	Hanácká	10	1	3	6	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Opava win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.