Stadium Kromeriz · Referee D. Cerny · Analysis updated 13:21 UTC
Hanácká vs Prostějov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Hanácká and 1.70 for Prostějov, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Prostějov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Prostějov win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hanácká home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Prostějov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.6%
- 0–211.6%
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
Hanácká
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vsetín · 1-2 (L)
Prostějov
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · Hanácká 2-1 Prostějov (FNL)
- 2026-04-15T15:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 0-0 Prostějov (FNL)
- 2025-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-3 Prostějov (FNL)
- 2023-11-11T09:30:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-0 Prostějov (FNL)
- 2023-07-29T15:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 3-0 Prostějov (FNL)
- 2023-02-03T16:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-0 Prostějov (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-01-29T00:00:00.000Z · Hanácká 1-2 Prostějov (Friendlies Clubs)
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Kladno | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Opava | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Třinec | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Prostějov win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.