Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Bayern Süd - 1309:00

2 – 1

Sunday, 4 October 2026

LandshutDLLLW

· Analysis updated 06:36 UTC

Hankofen-Hailing vs Landshut Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.48 for Landshut, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Landshut the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hankofen-Hailing home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Landshut away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Landshut to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 36% / 25% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.48 for Landshut, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hankofen-Hailing win36%
Draw25%
Landshut win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–07.9%

Recent form

Hankofen-Hailing

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gundelfingen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 1880 Wasserburg · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Deisenhofen · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Landshut · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Sportfreunde Schwaig · 1-3 (L)

Landshut

  • 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs 1880 Wasserburg · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Deisenhofen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportfreunde Schwaig · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hankofen-Hailing · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pfaffenhofen · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Bayern Süd table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pipinsried1610332133
2Erlbach169521332
31880 Wasserburg1610151131
4Pfaffenhofen16853429
5Landshut168441128
6Hankofen-Hailing16844828
7Sportfreunde Schwaig166911627
8Ismaning16727823
91860 München II16565321
10Schwabmünchen16547-119
11Heimstetten16475-219
12Gundelfingen16466-218
13Kottern16466-618
14Deisenhofen16448-1616
151860 Rosenheim16367-915
16Kirchanschöring16439-1315
17Schalding-Heining162410-2710
18TuS Geretsried162311-199

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.