Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 1512:00

4 – 3

Saturday, 24 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:01 UTC

Hannover 96 II vs Eintracht Norderstedt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.45 for Eintracht Norderstedt, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hannover 96 II win

59.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.43 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hannover 96 II home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Norderstedt away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.43 goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.45 for Eintracht Norderstedt, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 II win59%
Draw19%
Eintracht Norderstedt win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 2–06.1%

Recent form

Hannover 96 II

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Phönix Lübeck · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Lübeck · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli II · 3-2 (W)

Eintracht Norderstedt

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 II · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Phönix Lübeck · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jeddeloh · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nord table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg1411122934
2Hannover 96 II1510321533
3SV Drochtersen/Assel1510142631
4VfB Oldenburg1410132231
5Phönix Lübeck138322427
6Schöningen14734-224
7Atlas Delmenhorst13544-119
8Kickers Emden15546-519
9VfB Lübeck14464-318
10HSC Hannover15456-917
11Werder Bremen II14437-415
12Eimsbütteler TV14437-1415
13SSV Jeddeloh15429-1414
14Eintracht Norderstedt13346-813
15Hamburger SV II13418-913
16Todesfelde15339-2512
17St. Pauli II13319-510
18Bremer SV13229-178

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 II win, at 59.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.