· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
Hannover 96 II vs St. Pauli II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.18 for St. Pauli II, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Hannover 96 II or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Hannover 96 II home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.18 for St. Pauli II, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Hannover 96 II
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bremer SV · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 0-1 (L)
St. Pauli II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Schöningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Todesfelde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | HSC Hannover | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Bremer SV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | St. Pauli II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.