Hannover 96 II vs VfB Lübeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Hannover 96 II and 0.93 for VfB Lübeck, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hannover 96 II win

62.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hannover 96 II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Hannover 96 II and 0.93 for VfB Lübeck, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 II win62%

Draw21%

VfB Lübeck win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–010.7%
2–010.7%
1–19.9%
2–19.9%
3–07.2%

Recent form

Hannover 96 II

2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Phönix Lübeck · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Lübeck · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli II · 3-2 (W)

VfB Lübeck

2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eimsbütteler TV · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bremer SV · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	11	1	2	29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	14	9	3	2	14	30
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	14	9	1	4	22	28
4	VfB Oldenburg	13	9	1	3	21	28
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	8	3	2	24	27
6	Schöningen	14	7	3	4	-2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	-1	19
8	Kickers Emden	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	4	6	4	-3	18
10	HSC Hannover	14	4	5	5	-8	17
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	4	2	7	-14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	-7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	13	4	1	8	-9	13
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	4	1	9	-14	13
15	Werder Bremen II	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Todesfelde	14	3	3	8	-21	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	3	1	9	-5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	-17	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 II win, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.