Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

4 – 1

Sunday, 18 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:19 UTC

Hannover 96 U19 vs Havelse U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.15 expected goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.00 for Havelse U19, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives Hannover 96 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hannover 96 U19 win

79.3% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.15 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hannover 96 U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Havelse U19 away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 12% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.15 goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.00 for Havelse U19, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 U19 win79%
Draw12%
Havelse U19 win9%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 3–08.2%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 4–06.5%

Recent form

Hannover 96 U19

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)

Havelse U19

  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 U19 win, at 79.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.